Tournament: Vanderbilt | Round: 1 | Opponent: Indiana NS | Judge: Rebecca Steiner
CIR will pass now but it will be tough
Nowicki, 10-30 -- Arizona Republic's national political reporter
Dan, and Erin Kelly, "Fleeting Hopes for Immigration Reform," AZ Central, 10-30-13, www.azcentral.com/news/politics/articles/20131029fleeting-hopes-immigration-reform.html?nclick_check=1, accessed 10-31-13, mss
However, reform backers point to encouraging signs in addition to the intense push by
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is not like renaming a post office. It’s going to be tough.”
Political capital is necessary to get a deal done
Stokols 10/17/13 (Eli, FOX News Denver, "Analysis: Obama's Quick Pivot To immigration Reform")
To all my friends in Congress, understand that how business is done in this
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and appears closed to Hispanics and other minorities heading into next year’s midterms.¶
Having to defend authority derails the current agenda
Kriner 10 Douglas L. Kriner (assistant professor of political science at Boston University) “After the Rubicon: Congress, Presidents, and the Politics of Waging War”, University of Chicago Press, Dec 1, 2010, page 68-69.
While congressional support leaves the president’s reserve of political capital intact, congressional criticism saps
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to its costs than if Congress stood behind him in the international arena.
Reform key to the economy – decline in immigration spurs new recession.
Smith 12. Gerry, technology reporter, "Brain Drain: Why We're Driving Immigration Talent Overseas" Huffington Post -- November 5 -- www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/09/immigrant-entrepreneur_n_2077183.html
Stories like his are not unique. They’re also troubling for the U.S
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is because they are struggling to secure visas to remain in the country.
Economic decline causes nuclear war.
ROYAL ‘10 – Director of Cooperative Threat Reduction at the U.S. Department of Defense (Jedediah, “Economic Integration, Economic Signaling and the Problem of Economic Crises,” in Economics of War and Peace: Economic, Legal and Political Perspectives, ed. Goldsmith and Brauer, p. 213-215)
Less intuitive is how periods of economic decline may increase the likelihood of external conflict
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such, the view presented here should be considered ancillary to those views.