Tournament: Soul | Round: 2 | Opponent: Kansas State Jackson-Ramirez | Judge: Van Luvanee
1AC
Plan: The United States federal government should amend the War Powers Resolution to prohibit the offensive use of remotely piloted aircraft for targeted killing under the war powers authority of the President of the United States.
Advantage 1 is Drone Proliferation - Scenario 1 is Norms
Now is key to set drone use norms – inaction collapses norms on the use of force.
(Whibley 13)
James, received a M.A. in International Relations from Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand, February 6th, 2013 "The Proliferation of Drone Warfare: The Weakening of Norms and International Precedent," Georgetown Journal of International Affairs,journal.georgetown.edu/2013/02/06/the-proliferation-of-drone-warfare-the-weakening-of-norms-and-international-precedent-by-james-whibley/
While drone advocates such as ... possessing such a program would be terrifying.
The plan is key to norm enforcement – status quo risks anything goes policies.
(Bashir 2012)
Omar S., is a Ph.D. candidate in the Department of Politics at Princeton University and a graduate of the Department of Aeronautics and Astronautics at MIT, September 24th, 2012, "Who Watches the Drones?" Foreign Affairs,www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/138141/omar-s-bashir/who-watches-the-drones
Further, the U.S. counterterrorism chief John Brennan ... would reveal their disregard for humanitarian concerns.
Empirics prove norm-setting behavior in arms races.
(Farley 2011)
Robert, assistant professor at the Patterson School of Diplomacy and International Commerce at the University of Kentucky, Over the Horizon: U.S. Drone Use Sets Global Precedent, October 12, http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/10311/over-the-horizon-u-s-drone-use-sets-global-precedent
Is the world about to see a "drone race" among the ... more attention to the precedent they're setting.
US precedent triggers Chinese drone use in territory disputes.
(Bodeen 2013)
Christopher; writer for the Huffington Post; China’s drone program appears to be moving into the offensive; Huffington Post; 5/3. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/05/03/china-drone-program_n_3207392.html.
Determined to kill or capture a murderous Mekong River drug lord, ... camp almost 20 kilometers (12 miles) into Indian-claimed territory.
That triggers China-Japan war that draws in the U.S.
Panda 13 (Ankit, researcher at the Liechtenstein Institute on Self-Determination at Princeton University, “Japan to Shoot Down Foreign Drones”, The Diplomat, 10/22/13)
Japan’s Defense Ministry has received approval ... This includes a scenario involving China.
Miscalculation causes US-China nuclear escalation.
(Fisher 2011)
Max , foreign affairs writer and editor for the Atlantic, MA in security studies from Johns Hopkins, Oct 31 2011, "5 Most Likely Ways the U.S. and China Could Spark Accidental Nuclear War,"http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/10/5-most-likely-ways-the-us-and-china-could-spark-accidental-nuclear-war/247616
Neither the U.S. nor China has any interest in ... mishaps of the 1980s -- is exactly what makes them so dangerous.
Advantage 2 is Pakistan
Drone strikes destroy focus violence on Pakistani government and destroy US-Pakistan relations.
(Boyle 2013)
Michael J; Ph.D. Assistant Professor, Political Science @ LaSalle University; The costs and consequences of drone warfare; International Affairs 89: 1 (2013) 1–29; http://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/public/International20Affairs/2013/89_1/89_1Boyle.pdf; HD.
The escalation of drone strikes in Pakistan to ... of whom were motivated by revulsion over drone strikes.98
Pakistan’s stability is on the upswing from Sharif’s election and economic reform – investments prove.
Inman 13 (Daniel, Wall Street Journal Reporter that covers markets across Asia, “Daring Investors Brave Pakistan Market,” http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303640604579297743767054958, 01/03/2013)
The catalyst in Pakistan was the election ... nine times trailing 12 month earnings—a common valuation measure used by stock analysts.
Drone strikes fracture the Pakistan army, triggers loose nukes and militant takeover.
(Aslam 2011)
M.W; Department of Politics, University of Surrey, A critical evaluation of American drone strikes in Pakistan: legality, legitimacy and prudence; Critical Studies on Terrorism - Volume 4, Issue 3, 2011 pages 313-329;
The drone attacks and the Pakistani government's ... key democratic institution, its National Assembly (Cloughley 2011).
Militant takeover triggers indo-pak war.
(Sharma 2012)
Dr. Ashok, professor of political science at the University of Auckland, “The Enduring Conflict and the Hidden Risk of an India-Pakistan War”
The Indo-Pak nuclear rivalry, for all intents and purposes, is an extension of ... such as China and the United States, cannot be denied.
It’s high probability – expert consensus agrees that mounting tensions make 2014 a flashpoint.
(Overdorf 2013)
Jason, Overdorf covers India for GlobalPost. Overdorf has spent most of the past 15 years living and working in Asia. He worked as an editor with Dow Jones Newswires in New York, Singapore and Hong Kong before moving to New Delhi and becoming a freelance writer in 2002. He was a frequent contributor to the Far Eastern Economic Review until 2004, covering Indian politics, society and business. Since 2004, he has been a special correspondent at Newsweek International, where he writes on a wide range of topics. He has covered Sonia Gandhi's surprising electoral victory, the ongoing problem of Hindu fundamentalism, the simmering conflict with Maoist rebels, and societal changes resulting from India's meteoric economic growth. He's written for the Atlantic Monthly and the Asian Wall Street Journal. His travel articles, personal essays and political commentary have appeared in Smithsonian Magazine, Departures, Travelers' Tales and other publications. He has degrees in English literature and creative writing from Columbia University, Washington University and Boston University.“Analysis: Are India and Pakistan headed for war? Under heavy shelling, Kashmir is again set to stymie the Indo-Pak peace process. And the risks are mounting” Citing Experts at the Woodrow Wilson Center, http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/war/conflict-zones/130814/analysis-are-india-and-pakistan-headed-war
“This is a sad reality of India-Pakistan relations — whenever things ... Kugelman said. “And that's a scary thought.”
Solvency?
War powers resolution is key to check the executive and should be amended to ban offensive use of drones.
(Patera in 12)
(John, Hamline Journal of Public Law and Policy, “CURRENT PUBLIC LAW AND POLICY ISSUE: War Powers Resolution in the Age of Drone Warfare: How Drone Technology has Dramatically Reduced the Resolution's Effectiveness as a Curb on Executive Power”, 33 Hamline J. Pub. L. and Pol'y 387)
Critics may argue that the Resolution in practice ... new technologies to skirt its strictures.
Tech advances make self-restraint fail
(Druck 2012)
Judah A, JD Candidate, Cornell Law School; DRONING ON: THE WAR POWERS RESOLUTION AND THE NUMBING EFFECT OF TECHNOLOGY-DRIVEN WARFARE; Cornell Law Review. SSRN. November 15. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=21 85743
Naturally, some have argued that an unchecked President ... it becomes easier to enter into “hostilities.”
Obama will comply – no claim to preclusive authority.
(BARRON 2008)
Professor of Law at Harvard Law School and Martin S. Lederman, Visiting Professor of Law at the Georgetown University Law Center (David J. Barron, “The Commander in Chief at the Lowest Ebb -- A Constitutional History”, Harvard Law Review, February, 121 Harv. L. Rev. 941, Lexis)
In addition to offering important guidance concerning the congressional role, ... branch itself for most of our history of war powers development.