Tournament: Jesuit Gonzaga | Round: 1 | Opponent: UMKC JW | Judge: Jamie Cheek
Advantage One: AQAP
Signature strikes create a unique blowback in Yemen—they drive recruitment and attacks—that destroys Yemeni stability and creates an al Qaeda safe haven
Emker 2013 (Stacey, Whitehead School of Diplomacy and International Relations, January 14, "Analyzing the US Counterterrorism Strategy in Yemen", http://blogs.shu.edu/diplomacy/2013/01/analyzing-the-us-counterterrorism-strategy-in-yemen/)
The United States has placed great emphasis on fighting the militant Islamic group based in
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of President Hadi to target only key, local Yemeni leaders of AQAP.
Signature Strike fail- change in policy key to increase effectiveness and local cooperation
Johnsen 2013(Gregory, Author of "The Last Refuge: Yemen, al-Qaida, and America’s War in Arabia", August 16, "Three steps toward beating Al-Qaida in Yemen", http://www.miamiherald.com/2013/08/16/3565129_p2/three-steps-toward-beating-al.html)
Somewhere in Yemen are about two dozen individuals whom the United States is looking to
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Qaida, with the U.S. allying with its Yemeni partners.
AQAP terrorist attack collapses heg –causes retaliation and bleeding wars
Terrill 2011 (Andrew, Research Professor in National Security Affairs, "The Conflicts in Yemen and US National Security," Defence Talk, February 15, Strategic Studies Institute, http://www.defencetalk.com/the-conflicts-in-yemen-and-us-national-security-32049/)
Osama bin Laden and the al-Qaeda leadership have often viewed Yemen as having
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to specific U.S. activities in Yemen and the Middle East.
Collapse of hegemony guarantees multiple scenarios for nuclear war and extinction within one year
Drezner, University of Chicago political science professor, 3
~Daniel W., 1-6-03, Foreign Policy, "The perils of hegemonic power," http://drezner.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2003/01/06/the_perils_of_hegemonic_power-http://drezner.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2003/01/06/the_perils_of_hegemonic_power, accessed 7-9-13, MSG~
Michael Ignatieff’s cover story on empirein yesterday’s New York Times Magazine will be discussed in
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might, nor will it erase the natural emnity that comes with it.
Schmitt and Shanker 2011 (Eric and Thom, "Qaeda Trying to Harness Toxin, Ricin, for Bombs, US Says," New York Times, August 12, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/13/world/middleeast/13terror.html?_r=1)
WASHINGTON — American counterterrorism officials are increasingly concerned that the most dangerous regional arm of
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value for people who want to be jihadists and plot against the West."
Kellman 2008(Barry, the director of the International Weapons Control Center, May/June, "Bioviolence: A Growing Threat", http://www.wfs.org/March-April09/MJ2008_Kellman.pdf)
A looming danger confronts the world—the threat of bioviolence. It is a
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thing in response to these challenges could have dire consequences for all humanity.
Williams 2011 (Sarah, Coordinator of the Fissile Materials Working Group and Herbert Scoville Jr. Peace Fellow at the Center for Science, Technology and sEcurity Policy, "After bin Laden: Nuclear terrorism still a top threat," Bulletin of Atomic Scientists - Fissile MAterials Working Group, May 13, www.thebulletin.org/web-edition/columnists/fissile-materials-working-group/after-bin-laden-nuclear-terrorism-still-top-t)
More than a decade ago, Osama bin Laden professed that "acquiring ~chemical
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Al Qaeda, a US priority must be securing this potential source material.
Terrorist retaliation causes nuclear war – draws in Russia and China
Ayson 2010(Robert, Professor of Strategic Studies and Director of the Centre for Strategic Studies: New Zealand at the Victoria University of Wellington, "After a Terrorist Nuclear Attack: Envisaging Catalytic Effects," Studies in Conflict 26 Terrorism, Volume 33, Issue 7, July, Available Online to Subscribing Institutions via InformaWorld)
A terrorist nuclear attack, and even the use of nuclear weapons in response by
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be admitted that any preemption would probably still meet with a devastating response.
Drones collapse Pakistan relations—drives anti-Americanism and causes political backlash against pro-U.S. leadership—also risks instability
Boyle 2013(Michael, Ph.D, the Royal Institute, January, "The costs and consequences of drone warfare", International Affairs 89 : 1 (2013) 1–29, http://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/public/International20Affairs/2013/89_1/89_1Boyle.pdf)**
First, the Pakistani government is under intense pressure from growing popular hostility to the
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future of a nuclear-armed country seething with anti-American sentiment.
Drone-based resentment collapses relations—causes Pakistan collapse, increases terrorism, undercuts indo-pak dialogue, and prevents cooperation over Pakistan arsenal security
Cavallaro et al 2012(James, Stanford Law School, and the International Human Rights and Conflict Resolution Clinic at Stanford, and the Global Justice Clinic at NYU School of Law, September, "Living Under Drones", http://www.livingunderdrones.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/Stanford-NYU-LIVING-UNDER-DRONES.pdf)**
Despite the vast foreign aid the US has invested in Pakistan, a 2012 poll
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counterterrorism strikes was crowding out consideration of a broader strategy against radicalization." 765
Tripathi 2012 (Dhananjay, Assistant Professor at the Department of International Relations at South Asian University in New Delhi, "Energy Security : The Functional Area of Regional Cooperation for South Asia", http://133.87.26.249/dspace/bitstream/2115/50918/1/EBR3-2_006.pdf)
The problem does not lie on the effort side or with the number of formal
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, and there is a need for better cooperation in some functional area.
Hundley 2012(Tom, senior editor at the Pulitzer Center on Crisis Reporting, September 5, "Race to the End", http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/09/05/race_to_the_end?page=0,3)
The arms race could make a loose nuke more likely. After all, Pakistan’s
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it, but neither seems able to slow their dangerous race to annihilation.
Foust 2012(Joshua, fellow at the American Security Project, July 12, "U.S. Drones Make Peace With Pakistan Less Likely", http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/07/us-drones-make-peace-with-pakistan-less-likely/259756/)**
Pakistani ambassador to the U.S. Sherry Rehman recently made an unsurprising statement
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to the program while still preserving freedom of action against really important threats.
Drone strikes independently destabilize Pakistan—causes a military coup and collapses the state
Larison 2011(Daniel, Ph.D. in history, contributing editor at the American Conservative, April 22, "How America is destabilizing Pakistan", http://theweek.com/article/index/214578/how-america-is-destabilizing-pakistan)**
U.S.-Pakistan relations have reached a new low this year, and
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more by jeopardizing the sustained, significant security cooperation that Pakistan still provides.
Pakistan instability causes loose nukes and multiple scenarios for nuclear escalation
Pitt 2009(William, Author of "War on Iraq: What Team Bush Doesn’t Want You to Know", May 8, "Unstable Pakistan Threatens the World", http://www.arabamericannews.com/news/?mod=article26cat=commentary26article=2183)**
The United States, already embroiled in a war against Taliban forces in Afghanistan,
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organizations could place the entire world on a collision course with unimaginable disaster.
Goldsmith 2013 (Jack Goldsmith is the Henry L. Shattuck Professor at Harvard Law School, "Jack Goldsmith is the Henry L. Shattuck Professor at Harvard Law School", Lawfare Blog, March 7, 2013, http://www.lawfareblog.com/2013/03/why-the-administration-needs-to-get-congress-on-board-for-its-stealth-war/)
I disagree with Steve’s claim that we don’t know how the government conceives of its
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at that point the administration will wish it had gone to Congress sooner.
Oversight of kill lists is uniquely key—the present strategy causes distrust and prevents cooperation necessary to solve terrorism
Foust 2011(Joshua, Fellow at the American Security Project, December 30, "Unaccountable Killing Machines: The True Cost of U.S. Drones", http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2011/12/unaccountable-killing-machines-the-true-cost-of-us-drones/250661/)
The upside to this system of drones, administration officials insist, is that al
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for who these dead people are and what crimes they may have committed.
Chen 2012(Julia, Boston College Law Review, November, "Restoring Constitutional Balance: Accommodating the Evolution of War", No. 53, B.C. L. Rev 1767)
Section A asserts that the War Powers Resolution is outdated. n277 Modern warfare is
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the power of the executive and make informed decisions on defense appropriations. n388