Tournament: Adanationals | Round: 1 | Opponent: Liberty Apthorp-Bridwell | Judge: Green
Contention 1 is Cornelius Fudge
The executive of the ministry of magic, Cornelius Fudge, provides a strong organizing metaphor for understanding serial policy failure caused by cognitive bias
Norman and Delfin in 2012 Emma R., Policy Studies Organization and Rafael, Universidad de las Américas Puebla, “Wizards under Uncertainty: Cognitive Biases, Threat Assessment, and Misjudgments in Policy Making,” Politics and Policy, Volume 40, No. 3 (2012): 369-402.
Minister Fudge, and the heuristic conundrums he symbolizes, captures a great deal about
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more acutely aware of how pervasive the effects of cognitive biases can be.
Specifically, Fudge’s failure to prepare for Voldemort’s return mirrors international failure on climate cooperation – both threats fail intuitive threat assessment because they lack immediacy, rapid change and human agency
Norman and Delfin in 2012 Emma R., Policy Studies Organization and Rafael, Universidad de las Américas Puebla, “Wizards under Uncertainty: Cognitive Biases, Threat Assessment, and Misjudgments in Policy Making,” Politics and Policy, Volume 40, No. 3 (2012): 369-402.
Human Agency/Intentionality In the Potter saga, a principal reason why Fudge does
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than an appreciation of Rowling’s undoubted literary skill.
Warming causes extinction
Flournoy 12 – Citing Feng Hsu, PhdD NASA Scientist @ the Goddard Space Flight Center, Don Flournoy, PhD and MA from UT, former Dean of the University College @ Ohio University, former Associate Dean at SUNY and Case Institute of Technology, Former Manager for Unviersity/Industry Experiments for the NASA ACTS Satellite, currently Professor of Telecommunications @ Scripps College of Communications, Ohio University, “Solar Power Satellites,” January 2012, Springer Briefs in Space Development, p. 10-11
In the Online Journal of Space Communication , Dr. Feng Hsu, a NASA
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simply too high for us to take any chances” (Hsu 2010 )
Warming is real
Muller 12 (Richard A., professor of physics at the University of California, Berkeley, and a former MacArthur Foundation fellow, “The Conversion of a Climate-Change Skeptic,” 7-28-12, http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/30/opinion/the-conversion-of-a-climate-change-skeptic.html?_r=2andpagewanted=all)
CALL me a converted skeptic. Three years ago I identified problems in previous climate
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satellite measurements that solar activity changes the brightness of the sun very little.
And our metaphor is key to solving climate change – awareness minimizes biases in policy making and strategic usage in rhetorically conveying climate change allows us to integrate current research into democratic structures.
Norman and Delfin in 2012 Emma R., Policy Studies Organization and Rafael, Universidad de las Américas Puebla, “Wizards under Uncertainty: Cognitive Biases, Threat Assessment, and Misjudgments in Policy Making,” Politics and Policy, Volume 40, No. 3 (2012): 369-402.
Many psychologists who have devoted decades to this area of study have voiced their doubts
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effort for the judge to analyze why a certain prisoner might deserve parole.
Contention 2 – Azkaban
Contemporary IR fails to understand identity and non-state actors – only reflection on Boggarts as a metaphor allows us to ask who the enemy and the other is and thereby understand world politics
Norman 2012 Emma, Policy Studies Organization, “International Boggarts: Carl Schmitt, Harry Potter, and the Trans?guration of Identity and Violence,” Politics and Policy, Volume 40, No. 3 (2012): 403-423.
Of all the magical monsters in Harry Potter, boggarts are interesting both for the
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of state sovereignty that no longer fully holds in the contemporary global era.
Failure to deal with identity and exclusion as perpetuated on the body of the other, permanently replicates wars against real and imagined enemies
Jabri 6 (Vivienne Jabri, Professor in the Department of War Studies at King’s College London, 2006, “War, Security and the Liberal State”, Security Dialogue, Vol. 37, No. 1, p. 52-55)
Contemporary global politics is dominated by what might be called a ‘matrix of war’2
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development of the modern technologies of power that take life as their objective’.
And a Schmittian approach to boggarts shows how politics is grounded on creating identity distinctions between ourselves and the other – only our explanation accounts for the changing character of war the role of legitimacy in conducting war – means our approach is key to restricting war powers
Norman 2012 Emma, Policy Studies Organization, “International Boggarts: Carl Schmitt, Harry Potter, and the Trans?guration of Identity and Violence,” Politics and Policy, Volume 40, No. 3 (2012): 403-423.
Given this, it seems to be no accident that Rowling chose laughter as the
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the other in an attempt to sharpen the boundaries of the collective self.
Thus we are Resolved: The Ministry of Magic should substantially increase restrictions on the executive’s war powers authority to indefinitely detain Boggarts at Azkaban
Contention 3 is the Ministry of Magic
We should engage in the thought experiment of asking how we can fix the ministry – the ministry’s excesses on war powers only lead us to think that we need more restrictions on indefinite detention
Admiraal and Reitsmav 2010 Beth Admiraal and Regan Lance Reitsmav “Dumbledore's politics” The ultimate Harry Potter and philosophy: Hogwarts for Muggles, found via Wiley, 122-6
Barton’ s Libertarian Interpretation of the Potter Series
Prinzi’s arguments do not stand up to analysis. So, what about Barton’s libertarian
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example set by humble Dumbledore to argue soundly for a libertarian philosophy.
Popular culture analysis is key to understanding international relations – outweighs on magnitude,
Neumann and Nexon 2006 IVER B. Neumann is research director at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs and Adjunct Professor in International Relations at the Norwegian University of Life Sciences and Daniel H Nexon is an assistant professor of government and foreign service at Georgetown University, Harry Potter and International Relations, 6-9
Over the last decade, the discipline of international relations has shown an increasing interest
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, and the kinds of analysis they give rise to, are sum- marized in table 1.1. We introduce them in turn.
And literature solves cognitive closure through non-confrontational exposure to alternative perspectives – that’s key to understanding people and coping with ambiguity – supplements content knowledge
Djikic et al 13 Maja Djikic Ph.D. is a Senior Research Associate and the Director of Self-Development Lab at Rotman School of Management , Keith Oatley professor emeritus of cognitive psychology at the University of Toronto Mihnea C. Moldoveanu University of Toronto, "Opening the Closed Mind: The Effect of Exposure to Literature on the Need for Closure", Creativity Research Journal, 25:2, 149-154)
From the simulation perspective, the decrease in the need for closure may depend on
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, so this, in turn, may have applications in professional ?elds.
And only our fictional approach allows us to think radical otherness – that’s key to destabilizing the representations of power
Gorelick, 2008 Nate, I would say he’s my favorite lab leader but Teddy got angry at me when I did, “Imagining Extraordinary Renditions: Terror, Torture and the Possibility of an Excessive Ethics in Literature,” Theory and Event, Volume 11, Issue 2, 2008
Images of abomination from Abu Ghraib ought to reveal that something at the heart of the
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power to comprehend, to control, or to imagine.