Tournament: Crowe Warken Debate | Round: 1 | Opponent: CUNY SW | Judge: Cindy McGrath
The United States Congress should substantially increase statutory restrictions on the war powers authority of the President of the United States by banning the use of drones for targeted killing in Yemen.
Advantage One: Terrorism
We solve
First, blowback
Yemeni drone strikes ensure AQAP sympathizers and new followers – nationalism and Anti-Americanism – prefer our evidence, it’s from Yemeni citizens
Bayoumy 2013
YARA BAYOUMY, Insight: In Yemen, al Qaeda gains sympathy amid U.S. drone strikes, 12/13/13, http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/12/13/us-yemen-us-drones-insight-idUSBRE9BC0A020131213, accessed 1/3/14jap
residents in Yemen told Reuters, it's a civilian."
Drones fail for Yemen – AQAP is organized differently than other affiliates and Yemeni tribal politics ensure blowback
Shepard 12
Michelle, award-winning journalist and author of Decade of Fear: Reporting from Terrorism’s Grey Zones (2011) and Guantanamo’s Child (2008). She is the national security correspondent for The Toronto Star, Canada’s largest newspaper, and has reported among other places from Somalia, Yemen, Pakistan, Albania, Turkey, Kenya and Guantanamo Bay, "Understanding Yemen’s Al Qaeda Threat," PBS Frontline Interview with Azmat Khan, May 29, 2012. http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/foreign-affairs-defense/al-qaeda-in-yemen/understanding-yemens-al-qaeda-threat/, accessed 1/7/14jap
success rate of strikes, loss of its leadership.
Second is domestic counter-terrorism:
US drone attacks kill grassroots counter terrorism in Yemen – causes blowback and al Qaeda domestic legitimacy
Gosztola 2013
Kevin Gosztola, trusted author who publishes his writing regularly to OpEdNews and Open Salon and he is a 2009 Young People For Fellow. In Congressional Briefing, Yemeni Delegation Describe Terror Drones Bring to Their Communities, Wednesday November 20, 2013, http://dissenter.firedoglake.com/2013/11/20/in-congressional-briefing-yemeni-delegation-describe-terror-drones-bring-to-their-communities/, accessed 1/6/14jap
Whenever there is a drone, horrific the scenery was,.
Yemeni counter terrorism solves – could address all terrorism concerns
Gosztola 2013
Kevin Gosztola, trusted author who publishes his writing regularly to OpEdNews and Open Salon and he is a 2009 Young People For Fellow. In Congressional Briefing, Yemeni Delegation Describe Terror Drones Bring to Their Communities, Wednesday November 20, 2013, http://dissenter.firedoglake.com/2013/11/20/in-congressional-briefing-yemeni-delegation-describe-terror-drones-bring-to-their-communities/, accessed 1/6/14jap
it is not true, possible to make arrests.
Third is foreign aid:
Drones create instability and increase terrorism in Yemen – empirics prove AND current drone focus drowns effectiveness of foreign aid, which solves
Khoury 2013
Nabeel Khoury is Senior Fellow for Middle East and National Security at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs. He previously served as Deputy Chief of Mission in Yemen (2004-2007), Deputy Director of the Media Outreach Centre in London (2002-2004), and Consul General in Morocco (1998-2002). In 2003, during the Iraq war, he served as Department spokesperson at U.S. Central Command in Doha and in Baghdad. IN YEMEN, DRONES AREN’T A POLICY, http://www.aucegypt.edu/gapp/cairoreview/pages/articleDetails.aspx?aid=443, accessed 1/3/14
U.S. policy in Yemen, our security and political goals.
Fourth is AQAP tactic shift:
Drone strikes increase AQAP efficiency – force a change in tactics that makes it impossible to garner intelligence. Only diplomatic shift solves AQAP terrorism
Bayoumy 2013
YARA BAYOUMY, Insight: In Yemen, al Qaeda gains sympathy amid U.S. drone strikes, 12/13/13, http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/12/13/us-yemen-us-drones-insight-idUSBRE9BC0A020131213, accessed 1/3/14jap
The strikes have forced, the region is diplomacy.
Increased intel solves – more effective means for counter terrorism
Scahill 2012
Jeremy Scahill, national security correspondent for The Nation magazine. A two-time winner of the George Polk Award, Scahill is author of the international best-seller Blackwater: The Rise of the World’s Most Powerful Mercenary Army. He has reported from Afghanistan, Yemen, Somalia, Iraq and other U.S. war zones. PBS Frontline Interview with Azmat Khan, May 29, 2012. http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/foreign-affairs-defense/al-qaeda-in-yemen/understanding-yemens-al-qaeda-threat/, accessed 1/7/14jap
escalation of this bombing, maybe just a farmer.
AQAP will gain the material to initiate a nuclear terrorist attack
Williams 2011
Sarah, Coordinator of the Fissile Materials Working Group and Herbert Scoville Jr. Peace Fellow at the Center for Science, Technology and sEcurity Policy, "After bin Laden: Nuclear terrorism still a top threat," Bulletin of Atomic Scientists - Fissile Materials Working Group, May 13, accessed 1/7/14jap
bin Laden professed that, eliminate superfluous storage sites.
Yemen centric terrorist attacks force US invasion – kills hegemony and causes Middle East war. Even if the plan only drives terrorists out of Yemen that solves. Yemen’s location makes it the perfect breeding ground
Terrill 2011
Andrew, Research Professor in National Security Affairs, "The Conflicts in Yemen and US National Security," Defence Talk, February 15, Strategic Studies Institute, http://www.defencetalk.com/the-conflicts-in-yemen-and-us-national-security-32049/, accessed 1/7/14jap
Yemen has emerged, continue to intensify.
Mid-East conflict causes extinction
Russell 9 James, Senior Lecturer Department of National Security Affairs, Spring, “Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East” Security Studies Center Proliferation Papers, http://www.analyst-network.com/articles/141/StrategicStabilityReconsideredProspectsforEscalationandNuclearWarintheMiddleEast.pdf
Strategic stability in, the entire world.
Maintaining hegemony is key to solve nuclear conflict in every geopolitical hotspot and to fostering international cooperation which solves every existential threat
Brooks, Ikenberry, and Wohlforth 13
Stephen Brooks is Associate Professor of Government at Dartmouth College AND John Ikenberry is Albert G. Milbank Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University and Global Eminence Scholar at Kyung Hee University in Seoul AND John Wohlforth is Daniel Webster Professor of Government at Dartmouth College. “Lean Forward,” Jan/Feb 2013, Foreign Affairs, EBSCO, Accessed date: 1-9-13 y2k
for over 60 years, a potential contender.
Advantage Two: Yemen Legitimacy
First link is diplomatic cover
It’s reverse causal and now is key – plan provides massive cover for Yemeni transition progress and solves aid rejection – unfettered drones are destroying reform credibility.
Greenfield and Jones 2013
Danya Greenfield and David J. Kramer, Post Correspondents, 4/5/13, “Time to curb American drones,” http://www.nation.com.pk/pakistan-news-newspaper-daily-english-online/international/05-Apr-2013/time-to-curb-american-drones, accessed 1/7/14jap
To many Yemenis, US counterterrorism policy.
Second link is sovereignty
Plan solves Yemeni legitimacy – reinforcing domestic sovereignty over internal affairs increases perception of Yemeni governmental stability
Bailey 2013
Pam, freelance journalist and activist/cofounder of Global Exchange and CodePink: Women for Peace, How America’s killer Drone strikes undermine Yemeni democracy, http://muslimvillage.com/2013/08/27/43053/americas-killer-drone-strikes-undermine-yemeni-democracy/, accessed 1/7/14jap
Your silence in, their own country.
Third is political blame
US drone strikes kill Yemeni legitimacy and create instability in governance – doesn’t matter if they are effective, drones get the blame for Yemeni governmental failures
Gosztola 2013
Kevin Gosztola, trusted author who publishes his writing regularly to OpEdNews and Open Salon and he is a 2009 Young People For Fellow. In Congressional Briefing, Yemeni Delegation Describe Terror Drones Bring to Their Communities, Wednesday November 20, 2013, http://dissenter.firedoglake.com/2013/11/20/in-congressional-briefing-yemeni-delegation-describe-terror-drones-bring-to-their-communities/, accessed 1/6/14jap
The reality today, including 200 children.
Yemeni reconciliation on the brink of failure – Hadi illegitimacy causes complete country upheaval and extremist takeover
Uzayr 2013
Sufyan bin Uzayr is the author of “Sufism: A Brief History”. He writes for several print and online publications, and regularly blogs about issues of contemporary relevance at Political Periscope. How Insurgency, Drones and Revolution Are Tearing Yemen Apart, http://www.alternet.org/world/chaos-drones-and-revolution-are-tearing-yemen-apart?page=02C1, accessed 1/6/14jap
unless elections are held, the country from disintegration.
Impact is WMD terror, Iran-Israel war, and Iran-Saudi war.
Berger et al 12
May, Lars Berger, Lecturer in politics and contemporary history of the middle east at the university of salford/Manchester, Maurice Doring, MA in political science, international law and philosophy from the University of Bonn, Sven-Eric Fikenscher, research fellow at Geothe University, Ahmed Salf, Exeutive Director of the Sheba Center for Strategic Studies, Ahmed Al-Wahishi, Executive Secretary of the Yemeni International Affairs Center, "Yemen and the Middle East Conference The Challenge of Failing States and Transnational Terrorism", http://usir.salford.ac.uk/22952/1/Yemen_and_the_Middle_East_Conference.pdfjap
Yemen’s ongoing domestic, the Arab peninsula.
Solvency
Obama says yes
Baker 13 Peter Baker is Staff Writer @ NYT, “Pivoting From a War Footing, Obama Acts to Curtail Drones,” 5-23-13, http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/24/us/politics/pivoting-from-a-war-footing-obama-acts-to-curtail-drones.html?pagewanted=all, DOA: 8-24-13, y2k
would curtail the use, way presidents rarely do.
Plan guarantees enforcement---constraining the executive’s targeting decisions are key
Goldsmith 12 Jack Goldsmith is a Harvard Law professor and a member of the Hoover Task Force on National Security and Law. He served in the Bush administration as assistant attorney general in charge of the Office of Legal Counsel. His new book is Power and Constraint: The Accountable Presidency after 9/11. “Fire When Ready: Obama's targeted drone strikes -- even on Americans -- aren't illegal. In fact, there's a solid legal foundation and a number of checks and balances upholding his right to take out terrorists.” 3-19-12,
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2012/03/19/fire_when_ready?page=full, DOA: 9-5-13, y2k
all major military targets, operations than usual.
Robust scholarship concludes---Congress will enforce
Howell and Pevehouse 8 William G. Howell is an award-winning American political scientist and Sydney Stein Professor in American Politics at the University of Chicago Harris School of Public Policy Studies—AND—Jon C. Pevehouse is Associate Professor of Political Science at the University of Wisconsin–Madison, “While Dangers Gather : Congressional Checks on Presidential War Powers,” 2008, Princeton, NJ, USA: Princeton University Press, 2008. DOA: 12-26-13, y2k
searches for congressional efforts, drawing from diverse literatures.
Congressional certainty is key
Cronogue 12 Graham Cronogue, Duke University School of Law, J.D. expected 2013, “A New AUMF: Defining Combatants in the War on Terror,” Duke Journal of Comparative and International Law, Vol. 22:377, http://scholarship.law.duke.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1294andcontext=djcil, DOA: 9-12-13, y2k
Congress should set out, and prevents the “gloss”.
Only congress can send the signal
Mark David Maxwell 12, Colonel, Judge Advocate with the U.S. Army, Winter 2012, TARGETED KILLING, THE LAW, AND TERRORISTS, Joint Force Quarterly, http://www.ndu.edu/press/targeted-killing.html
settle Presidential power, the rule of law.